Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

006
FXUS64 KAMA 061733
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1233 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Mon Oct 5 2026

 - Through the week and into the weekend, temperatures will remain
   above average and dry weather conditions will persist.

 - Watching for a potential pattern shift next week, and maybe
   some precipitation chances.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

A large, dry airmass extending into the Ohio Valley from the
Southwest US is still going to continue influencing the region.
Subsident air, from a broad ridge, will continue to dominate the
forcing pattern for the rest of the day today and tomorrow, leading
to a continuation of dry and warm conditions. No precipitation is
expected through the short-term period, and highs will continue to
be in the 80s across the western and central Panhandles, with the
eastern Panhandles possibly reaching the upper 80s.

Abdullayev/Vanden Bosch


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

Through the remainder of this week, operational models still try to
analyze and further deepen a trough and associated mid-level low
near the Four Corners. Currently its moving southeast and is still
expected to go west and south of the Panhandles, so not expecting
much in terms of impacts from it. Through the work week and into the
weekend, we are still expecting dry and warm weather.

Early next week, global models are still showing signs of a
potential weather pattern shift. A short-lived ridge builds back in
behind the trough that passes through this weekend, centered around
the TX/LA border, and extending north-northwest into the Plains.
However, as it`s building, a large trough off the coast of
California tries to quickly push the ridge off to the east as it
enters and travels through the Western US. This trough looks to dig
down into the Panhandles and interact with tropical moisture from a
landfalling tropical system off the Eastern Pacific. The ECMWF and
GFS both have solutions containing this pattern, however, they are
not quite in agreement as to where the trough will ultimately set up
during the tropical moisture interaction. Given how far out this is,
a lot can change. We will continue to monitor the system over the
coming days.

Abdullayev/Vanden Bosch

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Tue Oct 6 2026

VFR conditions prevail at KAMA, KDHT, and KGUY, they are expected
to stay VFR throughout this TAF period. At KAMA, winds quickly
shift to more southerly around 02Z and then become more light and
variable around 11Z.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...52
LONG TERM....52
AVIATION...52